Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.063742 1.202219 1.353463 1.531164 1.734552 1.960439 2.230832
2025-12-14 0.824042 0.999754 1.206934 1.470189 1.797144 2.191594 2.706144
2025-12-21 0.664981 0.854200 1.091577 1.413216 1.840693 2.393516 3.169391
2025-12-28 0.591524 0.798270 1.071978 1.464343 2.018077 2.780107 3.922847
2026-01-04 0.530514 0.747005 1.047270 1.499397 2.172089 3.150375 4.707307
2026-01-11 0.481023 0.703168 1.024234 1.529362 2.317471 3.522424 5.547363
2026-01-18 0.437378 0.661078 0.996531 1.545571 2.439919 3.871298 6.400562
2026-01-25 0.392199 0.610542 0.948836 1.522397 2.493540 4.113419 7.109676
2026-02-01 0.345421 0.551841 0.880999 1.456777 2.465856 4.212530 7.579466
2026-02-08 0.310132 0.507669 0.831317 1.414442 2.470455 4.364301 8.162987
2026-02-15 0.281850 0.472061 0.791771 1.384172 2.491006 4.544496 8.824275
2026-02-22 0.267999 0.459491 0.789896 1.420030 2.636015 4.973036 10.043076
2026-03-01 0.250260 0.439331 0.774315 1.432195 2.744315 5.359179 11.272268
2026-03-08 0.229227 0.411260 0.741768 1.408767 2.780663 5.609176 12.260891
2026-03-15 0.208424 0.381569 0.703182 1.368960 2.778499 5.779361 13.103842
2026-03-22 0.201460 0.377202 0.712032 1.425206 2.984995 6.428414 15.196660
2026-03-29 0.192828 0.368687 0.711791 1.462413 3.155282 7.023403 17.279880
2026-04-05 0.184211 0.359303 0.708730 1.493031 3.314862 7.618556 19.488395
2026-04-12 0.174937 0.347659 0.699775 1.509484 3.443772 8.160494 21.670634
2026-04-19 0.162969 0.329319 0.674953 1.487191 3.477053 8.470526 23.273516
2026-04-26 0.148576 0.304596 0.634148 1.423343 3.399749 8.485709 24.026297
2026-05-03 0.137353 0.285712 0.604343 1.382117 3.373987 8.632997 25.209430
2026-05-10 0.128023 0.270163 0.580516 1.352622 3.374599 8.852095 26.665659